Bet Your Haus Winners: Super Bowl Edition
Well we are 15-20 on our picks this year. I guess that is what you get for taking both underdogs in the championship games. Ahh me. Anyway now is not the time to get down. You try betting ATS and we will see what happens. Stop yelling at me!!!!! Whatever. The Super Bowl is this week and in my opinion, picking this game right will put me back at .500. I was hoping the line would move from 2½ and force my pick, but alas it has not. And if you anything about lines, 2½ is really bunk. I know I said that I hate the Super Bowl because it means football is over but it is the biggest game of the year and I really believe that this year the best two teams in the NFL are playing in the game. Confidence is low but here it is.
Green Bay (-2½) over Pittsburgh. Like I said I was hoping the line would move. Anything over three and I would have taken the Steelers but it is stuck at 2½. And given how the last 10 Super Bowls have gone, I am not surprised. I expect a very close game with more offense than you might think. I do want want to get all football geek on you...oh wait...yes I do. Everyone is looking at what happened the last time the Packers and Steelers played which was a 37-36 shootout that the Steelers won in the final play. In that game, Aaron Rodgers threw the ball almost the whole game. (48-12 passing attempts to rushing attempts) The Steelers run defense is so stout that the Packers decided to not even try it. And it worked. The Pack effectively took Troy Polamalu out of the game by spreading the field with several wide receivers forcing him into coverage as opposed to doing whatever he wants and causing havoc all over the field. And I believe this same thing is going to happen again in this game. The difference is going to be the Packers defense. The way I see it going is like this: the Steelers are going to get the ball back down late and the Packers defense is going to win this game, just like they have all throughout the playoffs with late picks against the Eagles and the Bears and a defensive score against the Falcons. I respect Big Ben greatly, but this is Aaron Rodgers' coming out party.Take the Packers and lay the points, Green Bay 29-26. Count it. Bet it. Out.
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